Got down on UCLA -3 and Cal -5 today.
UCLA first. They appear to be focused and Shabazz finally seems to be the player I was hoping he would be when he arrived in Westwood. It’s clear at times that he wants to win more badly than anyone else on the court. Throw in the fact that WSU is a team with nothing to play for that is just playing out the regular season before the Pac-12 tournament, and UCLA should be able to win. Only concern is UCLA coming off their big win against Arizona, could be a let down spot, in addition to the extended travel up to Pullman, and the lack of comfort in staying in Idaho before busing into E. Washington. Howland appears to be aware of the risk of letdown and is reiterating to his team the importance of being ready. I think they will be.
Cal may be the hottest team in the Pac-12 right now, and they are at home for senior day against their cross town rival. No shortage of motivation here. Add to that they have the best back court in the Pac-12 and have been playing stand out defense as of late, and there is value on Cal. The spread indicates that Cal would be favored by 1 on a neutral court, or 3 point underdogs at Stanford. Based on my viewings of these teams, Cal should be favored in all situations against Stanford. This points to value on Cal.